The CCRM Team
Dr David Stainforth BSc MSc
BSc Queen’s College, Oxford, MSc Glasgow Caledonian
David is a world leading climate modeller and is chief scientist for climateprediction.net, the largest climate modelling exercise yet undertaken. His research interests are in climate physics and he works in the Middle Atmosphere and Climate Dynamics group of the Oxford University Physics subdepartment of Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics. His research interests cover uncertainty analysis in climate forecasts, coupled Ocean/Atmosphere computer modelling and the analysis and review of renewable energy projects and policies in developing countries.
Research Interests and Expertise
Thematic Areas:
- Perturbed-physics ensembles of coupled atmosphere/ocean climate models.
- The parametisation of gravity waves in Global Circulation Models.
Examples of Research/Consultancy Topics
- Seven years’ experience of managing and participating in renewable energy RDD&D (Research, Development, Demonstration and Dissemination) projects for the UK Government (DTI and DFID) and the European Commission.
- Analysis and review of renewable energy projects and policies in developing countries. Experience from research work for the UK Department for International Development.
Selected Recent Publications
- Stainforth DA et al. (2007). Issues in the interpretation of climate model ensembles to inform decisions, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, Volume 365, Number 1857.
- Lopez A, Tebaldi C, New M, Stainforth DA, Allen MR and Kettleborough J (2006). Two approaches to quantifying uncertainty in global temperature changes under different forcing scenarios, Journal of Climate.
- Knutti R, Meehl G, Allen MR and Stainforth DA (2006). Constraining climate sensitivity from the seasonal cycle in surface temperature, Journal of Climate.
- Stainforth DA, Allen MR, Frame DJ and Piani C (2006). Risks Associated with Stabilisation Scenarios and Uncertainty in Regional and Global Climate Change Impacts, Chapter 33 of Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, ISBN-13: 9780521864718, ISBN-10: 0521864712.
- Stainforth DA et al. (2005). Uncertainty in Predictions of the Climate Response to Rising Levels of Greenhouse Gases. Nature, Vol 433: 403:406.
- Murphy JM, Sexton DMH, Barnett DN, Jones GS, Webb MJ, Collins M and Stainforth DA (2004). Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations. Nature, Vol 430:268:772.
- Allen MR and Stainforth DA (2002). Towards Objective Probabilistic Climate Forecasting. Nature, Vol 419:228.
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